Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.642051 1.714038 1.787934 1.869600 1.957491 2.049419 2.153075
2025-12-28 1.528673 1.632417 1.742963 1.870093 2.012970 2.169435 2.354909
2026-01-04 1.411151 1.533615 1.667976 1.827512 2.013349 2.224993 2.487211
2026-01-11 1.339135 1.478149 1.634709 1.826123 2.056722 2.329472 2.682633
2026-01-18 1.287580 1.441100 1.618122 1.840466 2.116954 2.456181 2.915214
2026-01-25 1.228022 1.389960 1.580314 1.824820 2.137157 2.532770 3.089680
2026-02-01 1.168100 1.334344 1.532886 1.792735 2.132368 2.574646 3.219628
2026-02-08 1.101084 1.266381 1.466136 1.731297 2.083999 2.553307 3.257214
2026-02-15 1.055807 1.222876 1.427266 1.702633 2.075797 2.584026 3.370298
2026-02-22 1.022875 1.193051 1.403813 1.692055 2.090190 2.645734 3.534050
2026-03-01 0.987189 1.158072 1.371867 1.667938 2.083531 2.675625 3.650194
2026-03-08 0.941650 1.108776 1.319254 1.613132 2.030066 2.632399 3.643554
2026-03-15 0.916964 1.087299 1.304503 1.612539 2.058610 2.720780 3.876879
2026-03-22 0.900239 1.075630 1.302343 1.629464 2.114204 2.856526 4.214031
2026-03-29 0.869369 1.044196 1.272312 1.605446 2.107201 2.893002 4.380202
2026-04-05 0.851010 1.028660 1.263128 1.610654 2.144819 3.005513 4.709010
2026-04-12 0.837477 1.018979 1.261403 1.626365 2.199608 3.152315 5.135267
2026-04-19 0.816254 0.998013 1.242944 1.616033 2.211795 3.226033 5.423963
2026-04-26 0.791732 0.971678 1.215837 1.591165 2.198343 3.252069 5.612305
2026-05-03 0.760768 0.935557 1.173595 1.541322 2.140416 3.191125 5.588426
2026-05-10 0.739699 0.912567 1.149374 1.518102 2.125697 3.209747 5.759790
2026-05-17 0.724270 0.896953 1.135176 1.509652 2.135298 3.275345 6.062211
2026-05-24 0.706285 0.877235 1.114339 1.489796 2.123842 3.298517 6.260318